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Uranium and copper explode out of the blocks in early 2026. AIA Weekly Update 1.

Source: Actionable Intelligence Alert | Date: January 17, 2026


Key Takeaways

  • Uranium and copper are breaking out strongly in early 2026, with uranium futures hitting 18-month highs and potential to reach $100/pound
  • Federal Reserve's continued money printing and debt refinancing challenges (25% of US debt maturing in next 12 months) support long-term gold bullish case
  • Commodity super cycle appears underway but cautions against euphoria - volatility expected with significant corrections possible
  • Major energy policy shift emerging as electricity affordability becomes political issue, driving need for 15+ billion in new baseload power generation
  • Argentina achieving back-to-back budget surpluses for first time since 2008, signaling broader Latin America economic opportunity

Market Views

  • Uranium: Targeting $100/pound spot price in 2026, called it best performing resource market for the year
  • Gold: Long-term bullish due to monetary system issues and debt refinancing needs
  • Oil: Longer-term bullish despite current weakness, expects new all-time highs in 3-5 years ($100-200/barrel)
  • Copper: Extremely bullish due to supply discovery decline (only 315M tons found 2003-2025 vs 910M tons 1990-2003)
  • Commodities generally: In super cycle but warns against straight-line thinking

Assets Discussed

  • SPUT (Sprott Physical Uranium Trust): Up 6.8% last week, raised $146M in first two weeks of 2026
  • URA/URNM ETFs: Up 10% and 8.9% respectively last week
  • UEC (Uranium Energy Corp): Up 21% last week
  • Denison Mines: Up 11.8% last week
  • Kazatomprom: Making new highs, world's largest uranium producer
  • Major oil companies (Exxon, Chevron): Up 4-18% despite 20% oil price drop, generating $96B free cash flow
  • TPL and Landbridge: Mentioned as water solutions plays in Permian Basin

Notable Quotes

  • "This is the most out of balance commodity market resource market that I've ever seen" - on uranium supply/demand
  • "There's no need to drill when margins are basically gone" - Harold Hamm on shutting down Bakken drilling operations for first time in 30 years

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