Chris Rutherglen: Why Gold Has 'More Room To Run Higher'
Source: Palisade Radio | Date: January 26, 2026
Chris Rutherglen: Why Gold Has 'More Room To Run Higher'
Key Takeaways
- Gold is currently in the "rate cut period" of its cycle, with more upside potential remaining before reaching the cycle high
- We're approaching the 5th intermediate cycle high (targeting $4,900-5,200), with a potential 6th cycle reaching $6,700
- The current bull market has two phases: rate cut period (now) followed by QE period where the largest gains typically occur
- Multiple indicators suggest gold isn't at its cycle high yet: silver outperformance is early stage, stock market hasn't declined to 3-year moving average, and options activity shows continued bullish momentum
- This cycle is unusually extended compared to historical patterns, contributing to gold's persistent strength
Market Views
- Near-term target: $4,900-5,200 for 5th intermediate cycle high (1-2 months away)
- 6th cycle target: $6,700 (August-October 2025 timeframe)
- Long-term QE period target: $24,000 gold by 2030s based on debt-to-money supply normalization
- Silver targets: $175 for rate cut period, $840 for QE period
- Expects a washout period between rate cut and QE phases where holding cash becomes preferable
Assets Discussed
- Gold: Primary focus with detailed cycle analysis and multiple price targets
- Silver: Currently at $84-101, equivalent to 2011's $50 when adjusted for midcycle level. Trading at 5.5% of gold's midcycle level
- 10-year Treasury: Expected to peak around 3.5% yield before gold reaches cycle high
- S&P 500: Must decline to 3-year moving average before gold cycle completes
- Central bank purchases: Contributing to magnitude but not timing of gold's rise
Notable Quotes
- "One could make a case that the gold price could get up to $24,000" - referring to potential QE period targets in the 2030s
- "There's still fuel left in the market to push the price higher" - based on options volume analysis showing continued bullish positioning
Related Charts
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